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Stress test

Simulate macro and market shocks against your portfolio. Inspired by Basel III stress-testing methodology.

Build your own scenario

Adjust the levers below to model any market or macro shock against your portfolio. See the impact instantly.
Market value change
0%
Operating hours / utilization change
0%
Maintenance cost change
0%
Region filter (optional)

⛽ Energy & Diesel Crisis

Diesel/energy prices double. Diesel-heavy machines lose value, electric/hybrid hold firm.
Fleet value impact
€-41 253
-11.3% · €366 047 → €324 794
Annual revenue impact
€51 763
€260 119 → €311 882/year
Total economic impact
€10 510
Value loss + revenue loss combined
New SELL signals
0
Machines crossing −15% threshold
Top-1 share
14.2%
was 14.8%
Top-5 share
56.4%
was 58.0%

Most exposed machines

1
JLG 1500AJP (2018)
€54 196
→ €46 067
€-8 129 (-15.0%)
2
JLG 600S (2023)
€44 427
→ €37 763
€-6 664 (-15.0%)
3
Genie S-65 (2021)
€44 182
→ €37 555
€-6 627 (-15.0%)
4
JLG 800AJ (2019)
€37 833
→ €32 158
€-5 675 (-15.0%)
5
Genie Z-45/25J (2023)
€31 810
→ €27 038
€-4 771 (-15.0%)

Or start from a preset

Pre-built scenarios modeled on real market events. Click any to apply instantly.
🏗️
Construction Recession (EU)
Severe EU-wide construction slowdown. Used market values drop sharply, demand for rentals collapses.
Value -22%Hours -30%Scope: Europe
Modeled on: 2023 EU construction Q1 contraction (Eurostat) + ifo crisis-level Bauwirtschaft index 2026
📈
Interest Rate Shock (+200 bps)
Central banks tighten 200bps. Cost of capital rises, secondary market liquidity dries up.
Value -8%Hours -5%Maint +5%
Modeled on: Modeled on ECB tightening cycle 2022-2024
Energy & Diesel Crisis
Diesel/energy prices double. Diesel-heavy machines lose value, electric/hybrid hold firm.
Value -5%Hours -8%Maint +12%
Modeled on: Modeled on 2022 supply crunch
🌱
EU Stage VI / Emissions Tightening
New emissions rules push older diesel machines out of urban projects. Pre-2018 hit hardest.
Value -2%Age 8+: -22%
Modeled on: Modeled on EU Stage V emissions 2019 + emerging Stage VI proposals
Equipment Shortage (Positive)
Supply constraints push used market prices UP. Contrarian/upside scenario.
Value +15%Hours +8%
Modeled on: Modeled on 2021 post-COVID equipment surge
🇸🇪
Sweden — Boverket Downside
Sweden-specific severe scenario per Boverket downside path. Nordics rental demand drops, lift segment hurt.
Value -18%Hours -25%Scope: SE
Modeled on: Boverket Q1 2026 downside projection — housing completions −12%
🇺🇸
North America — AED Bullish
N.Am. infrastructure spending peaks per AED outlook. Equipment values rise, hours up.
Value +10%Hours +12%Scope: North America
Modeled on: AED Annual Industry Outlook 2026 — fleet capex +5%, rental revenue +8%